- Napoli have lost away to each of the top five sides in Serie A
- Over 2.5 goals has landed in 10 of Inter’s last 11 league games
- The Nerazzurri have scored twice in five of their last six matches
- 73% of Napoli’s losses this term have come by a single goal margin
Inter aiming high
Inter Milan made a strong statement as they swept aside Genoa 3-0 at the weekend. However, the comments from their players and manager echoed even louder after their troubles this term. Romelu Lukaku followed up his double by claiming that his team can do much better, while Antonio Conte has the Nerazzurri aiming for the top with signings set to arrive ahead of the 20/21 campaign.
Inter will want to follow up their big talk with results, both in their final two games of the season and in their Europa League campaign next month. Europe has become the focus for both Inter and Napoli, so expect to see a more competitive encounter than you’d expect at this stage of the season with nothing riding on the outcome. Our predictions point to Inter doing enough to win the clash, with Napoli failing to step up in their biggest tests.
Last chance for Napoli
The Partenopei have seen their hope for a shock against Barcelona grow after some good results under Gennaro Gattuso. However, they are heading to the Camp Nou in their second-leg, with results this season suggesting they’ll struggle. So far Napoli have failed to take a point at any of Italy’s top four, losing in their visits to Juventus, Atalanta and Lazio. They have also been beaten at fifth-placed Roma, while they’ve drawn two meetings with AC Milan.
Napoli’s biggest away scalp is eighth-placed Sassuolo, a team who the Partenopei managed to beat at the weekend for the second time this season. However, that doesn’t tell the full story of the match as the Partenopei won after Sassuolo had four chances chalked off by VAR. While that didn’t stop Gattuso’s men taking the points, they clearly have a problem preventing chances, something Inter can take full advantage of.
Inter sharp at home
The hosts can certainly cause trouble for teams at San Siro, having made 19 attempts on goal per game on average at home so far this term. They should trouble Napoli this week, which could continue a streak of high-scoring matches for the hosts. Inter have seen over 2.5 goals in 10 of their last 11 Serie A outings, with 67% of their matches here seeing over 2.5 goals scored.
Inter are aiming to complete a league double over Napoli after beating them 3-1 away from home earlier this season. Having scored twice in five of their last six games, we think the Nerazzurri have enough to overcome the visitors and claim an 11th home win of the campaign. Given how poor Napoli have been in big games, we’re backing Inter to win this clash with over 2.5 goals to be scored. We’re also going with a 2-1 home win as our correct score prediction, with 73% of Napoli’s defeats coming by a single goal.
ITALY: Serie A
Inter vs Napoli
Over 2.5
